Market forecast and strategic option development for a Central Asian airport

Background and context

The client, an airport within the Central Asia region, engaged Aevean for advice on its long-term air cargo strategy and future positioning
Growing geopolitical uncertainties and its impact on the client’s future operations served as the backdrop for better understanding the risks and related air cargo dynamics
Within this context, the client wanted to know (1) how it could increase air cargo traffic and (2) how it could realize its full freighter tech stop revenue potential

Aevean’s Role

Provided a global, regional, and local cargo market overview incorporating general cargo, e-commerce, and a detailed commodity-level breakdown
Evaluated the client’s competitive positioning through a focused airport benchmarking analysis
Conducted an air cargo demand and capacity forecast under two different geopolitical scenarios
Identified risks and opportunities to the client’s tech stop operations originating from SAF mandates
Developed several bespoke strategic initiatives including a regional and international distribution strategy, solution to attract additional air cargo capacity, refined tech stop offering, and more

Outcome & Value Add

Delivered a comprehensive, scenario-based forecast of the client’s air cargo traffic, incorporating both existing operations and the impact of targeted strategic initiatives to increase air cargo traffic
Quantified the impact of different geopolitical scenarios on freighter tech stop revenues
Quantified the operational and financial impact of targeted strategic initiatives both individually and as a complementary whole
Provided key next steps for implementation, including risks to avoid and key enabler requirements
Enabled the client to refine its master planning decisions
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